Spaeri vs Merani Tbilisi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
17.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spaeri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
MER
1 - 2
SPA
41%
24%
35%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
SPA
0 - 0
SHU
43%
27%
30%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2022 |
MET
1 - 5
SPA
25%
24%
51%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
SPA
4 - 0
WIT
69%
19%
12%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
SAM
2 - 1
SPA
39%
24%
37%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Merani Tbilisi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
GAR
2 - 1
NOR
48%
24%
28%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
NOR
2 - 2
MER
35%
24%
41%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
SHU
1 - 0
NOR
63%
21%
16%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
NOR
1 - 2
MET
62%
20%
19%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
WIT
2 - 3
NOR
33%
25%
42%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |