Spaeri vs Dinamo Tbilisi II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.3%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
31.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
4º
9º
5º
27
1º
5º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
29 | 64 |
1º
|
38% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 60 |
2º
|
21.5% | |
|
1º
|
30 | 59 |
3º
|
20.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
27 | 59 |
4º
|
22.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
24 | 58 |
5º
|
16.5% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 47 |
6º
|
26% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 42 |
7º
|
29.5% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 41 |
8º
|
34% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 36 |
9º
|
40% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 31 |
10º
|
57% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
15% | 12.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
39% | 38% |
|
Mid-table
|
42% | 45% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
3.5% | 4.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spaeri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2024 |
WIT
1 - 2
SPA
34%
26%
40%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2024 |
ADU
1 - 2
SPA
42%
25%
33%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
SPA
1 - 2
GAR
31%
25%
44%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
LOK
1 - 0
SPA
36%
25%
39%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
KOL
1 - 4
SPA
22%
24%
54%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Dinamo Tbilisi II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2024 |
DIN
1 - 1
GAR
40%
25%
35%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2024 |
LOK
2 - 4
DIN
40%
26%
34%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
DIN
4 - 1
KOL
62%
21%
18%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
MET
4 - 1
DIN
41%
26%
33%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | -2 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
SIO
2 - 1
DIN
49%
25%
26%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |