SP Guardes vs Caselas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
18%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
14%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SP Guardes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2024 |
LTA
1 - 1
GUA
7%
16%
77%
|
16 | 5 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
GUA
2 - 4
MON
74%
16%
10%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
GON
0 - 1
GUA
39%
24%
37%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
GUA
1 - 0
RIV
83%
11%
5%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
NEV
0 - 4
GUA
6%
15%
80%
|
17 | 5 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Caselas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2024 |
CAS
1 - 0
TOM
38%
23%
40%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
PRO
1 - 0
CAS
60%
21%
19%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
CAS
3 - 0
CHO
61%
19%
21%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
JUV
0 - 0
CAS
47%
21%
32%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
MIG
1 - 2
CAS
67%
17%
16%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | +1 |