SP Falcons vs Tuv Buganuud analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.6%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21%
31.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SP Falcons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
KHC
0 - 2
SPF
27%
20%
53%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
SPF
1 - 0
ULA
46%
23%
31%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
BSI
1 - 6
SPF
10%
15%
76%
|
28 | 8 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
BFC
0 - 3
SPF
9%
14%
78%
|
29 | 8 | 21 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
KHO
0 - 2
SPF
15%
18%
67%
|
30 | 15 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Tuv Buganuud
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
TBF
0 - 1
KHA
70%
15%
15%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
ERC
2 - 2
TBF
32%
20%
48%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
TBF
3 - 2
DER
46%
21%
33%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | +2 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
TBF
6 - 3
KHO
78%
12%
9%
|
24 | 15 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
TBF
7 - 2
KHC
53%
20%
27%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | +1 |