SP Falcons vs Tuv Azarganuud analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.1%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
29.7%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+78%
-76%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
3º
7º
4º
33
3º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 54 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
33 | 42 |
5º
|
94.5% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 36 |
6º
|
94.5% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 29 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 27 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 7 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SP Falcons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
SPF
3 - 1
KHC
71%
16%
13%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
BCH
1 - 1
SPF
9%
13%
78%
|
29 | 14 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
SPF
1 - 0
ERC
43%
21%
36%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
KHA
1 - 7
SPF
12%
15%
74%
|
29 | 15 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
SPF
4 - 1
KHO
78%
13%
9%
|
29 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Tuv Azarganuud
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
TBF
1 - 2
KHO
80%
12%
8%
|
29 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
TBF
8 - 2
ULC
54%
20%
26%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | +2 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
BCH
2 - 10
TBF
16%
18%
67%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2022 |
TBF
1 - 2
ULA
44%
21%
35%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
ERC
3 - 1
TBF
61%
18%
21%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | -1 |