SP Falcons vs Khaan Khuns - Erchim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.4%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.2%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.5%
13.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+78%
-58%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
3º
7º
4º
26
3º
7º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 54 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 42 |
5º
|
94.5% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 36 |
6º
|
94.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
26 | 29 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 27 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 7 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SP Falcons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
KHA
0 - 3
SPF
22%
20%
59%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
SPF
3 - 1
KHO
84%
11%
6%
|
31 | 16 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
ULC
1 - 0
SPF
40%
21%
40%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
SPF
1 - 1
ULA
46%
21%
33%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2023 |
DER
0 - 2
SPF
44%
21%
35%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Khaan Khuns - Erchim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
ERC
1 - 4
KHC
31%
20%
48%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
BCH
0 - 11
ERC
8%
12%
81%
|
22 | 11 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
ERC
2 - 4
TBF
43%
21%
37%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | -2 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
ERC
0 - 2
KHA
77%
13%
10%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2023 |
KHO
2 - 3
ERC
22%
19%
59%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |