FA Trophy . 1/64
Global 2-1
Southport vs Vauxhall Motors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.5%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.8%
9.6%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
VAU
0 - 0
SOU
31%
26%
43%
|
55 | 36 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
SOU
2 - 1
KIN
54%
24%
23%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
SOU
0 - 0
WOR
65%
21%
14%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
SOU
2 - 3
RED
65%
21%
14%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2008 |
SOU
5 - 2
VAU
77%
15%
7%
|
55 | 30 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Vauxhall Motors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
VAU
0 - 0
SOU
31%
26%
43%
|
36 | 55 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
VAU
2 - 3
HUC
58%
22%
20%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
FAR
0 - 1
VAU
65%
20%
15%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2008 |
VAU
2 - 1
BLY
38%
26%
36%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | +2 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
VAU
3 - 0
WOR
24%
25%
51%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | +5 |