Southern United vs Marist Fire analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.1%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
48.4%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
6%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southern United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
LAU
1 - 2
SOU
71%
16%
13%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
SOU
3 - 0
HOC
27%
21%
52%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | +2 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
HEE
3 - 1
SOU
82%
11%
7%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
SOU
1 - 2
WAU
21%
21%
58%
|
16 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
REA
0 - 1
SOU
22%
19%
59%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Marist Fire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 1
CCO
33%
22%
44%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
WAU
3 - 0
MAR
56%
21%
23%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 0
SOS
84%
11%
5%
|
26 | 12 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2023 |
JFC
1 - 4
MAR
8%
14%
78%
|
25 | 8 | 17 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
LAU
2 - 1
MAR
39%
23%
39%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | -1 |