Southern District vs Sham Shui Po analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.9%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.7%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.2%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.5%
5.5%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-44%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
2º
6º
5º
7
9º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
46 | 46 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
33 | 33 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 31 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
31 | 31 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 26 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 20 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 18 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
7 | 7 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 1 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southern District
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
RES
0 - 1
SDI
23%
23%
54%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
SDI
0 - 0
HON
59%
20%
21%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
SDI
1 - 4
KFC
27%
21%
53%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
KFC
7 - 0
SDI
60%
22%
18%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
SDI
6 - 1
HKU
63%
18%
19%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Sham Shui Po
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
BIU
4 - 0
SHA
76%
16%
9%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
RES
2 - 1
SHA
64%
20%
17%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
EAS
4 - 0
SHA
84%
12%
4%
|
44 | 70 | 26 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
WAR
5 - 0
SHA
80%
13%
8%
|
44 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
SHA
0 - 4
WTP
18%
21%
61%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | -1 |