Southern District vs Hong Kong FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.8%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
20.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-82%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southern District
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
WAN
1 - 3
SDI
22%
23%
54%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
SDI
2 - 0
KWU
70%
19%
12%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
SHA
1 - 1
SDI
52%
24%
24%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
SDI
0 - 1
TCS
56%
22%
22%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
DOU
2 - 4
SDI
51%
23%
26%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Hong Kong FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
HON
2 - 2
DOU
50%
22%
29%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
HVA
1 - 0
HON
54%
21%
25%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
HON
2 - 1
BIU
56%
20%
24%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
TCS
0 - 1
HON
55%
22%
24%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
HON
0 - 3
WIN
58%
19%
22%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |