Southend United vs Newport County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
49.4%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southend United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2021 |
BAR
1 - 2
SOU
58%
23%
19%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
SOU
2 - 1
LEY
31%
27%
42%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2021 |
COL
2 - 0
SOU
52%
25%
23%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
EXE
0 - 0
SOU
67%
20%
13%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
SOU
0 - 0
CRA
29%
26%
46%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Newport County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2021 |
NEW
1 - 0
CHE
33%
30%
37%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2021 |
NEW
4 - 0
SCU
56%
25%
19%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
EXE
0 - 0
NEW
42%
27%
32%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2021 |
NEW
2 - 0
CRA
39%
29%
33%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
NEW
0 - 1
CAM
38%
29%
33%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |