Southend United vs Luton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
22.9%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southend United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
PLY
2 - 1
SOU
50%
26%
24%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
SOU
1 - 3
BAR
54%
24%
22%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2007 |
PNE
2 - 3
SOU
61%
23%
16%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2007 |
SOU
0 - 3
COL
44%
28%
28%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
HUL
4 - 0
SOU
43%
27%
30%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2007 |
DER
1 - 0
LUT
64%
21%
15%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
LUT
1 - 2
PLY
45%
25%
30%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2007 |
QPR
3 - 2
LUT
48%
25%
27%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
LUT
0 - 2
SOU
31%
25%
44%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
BUR
0 - 0
LUT
47%
26%
28%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |