Premier League 2 Division One Round 14

Southampton U23 vs Arsenal U23 analysis

Southampton U23 Arsenal U23
45 ELO 47
4.6% Tilt 5.3%
39277º General ELO ranking 39260º
1294º Country ELO ranking 1277º
ELO win probability
37%
Southampton U23
23.1%
Draw
39.9%
Arsenal U23

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37%
Win probability
Southampton U23
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.7%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
39.9%
Win probability
Arsenal U23
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Southampton U23
+90%
+37%
Arsenal U23

ELO progression

Southampton U23
Arsenal U23
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Southampton U23
Southampton U23
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Feb. 2021
SOU
Southampton U23
1 - 2
Man. Utd U23
MUN
31%
23%
46%
46 51 5 0
21 Feb. 2021
SOU
Southampton U23
1 - 0
Derby County U23
DER
42%
23%
35%
45 46 1 +1
07 Feb. 2021
SOU
Southampton U23
1 - 1
Tottenham Hotspur U23
TOT
32%
23%
45%
44 50 6 +1
29 Jan. 2021
WHU
West Ham U23
3 - 1
Southampton U23
SOU
54%
22%
24%
46 47 1 -2
12 Dec. 2020
SOU
Southampton U23
5 - 2
Leicester U23
LEI
31%
24%
45%
43 50 7 +3

Matches

Arsenal U23
Arsenal U23
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Feb. 2021
LIV
Liverpool U23
4 - 0
Arsenal U23
ARS
53%
21%
26%
49 50 1 0
19 Feb. 2021
ARS
Arsenal U23
0 - 2
Man. City U23
MCI
32%
24%
45%
50 54 4 -1
12 Feb. 2021
MUN
Man. Utd U23
3 - 0
Arsenal U23
ARS
45%
22%
33%
51 50 1 -1
05 Feb. 2021
ARS
Arsenal U23
2 - 2
Chelsea U23
CHE
45%
25%
30%
51 52 1 0
29 Jan. 2021
TOT
Tottenham Hotspur U23
1 - 1
Arsenal U23
ARS
41%
23%
37%
51 50 1 0