Premier League Round 5

Southampton vs Wolves analysis

Southampton Wolves
85 ELO 76
-9.1% Tilt -3.5%
330º General ELO ranking 99º
23º Country ELO ranking 17º
ELO win probability
61.3%
Southampton
22.2%
Draw
16.5%
Wolves

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.3%
Win probability
Southampton
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
16.5%
Win probability
Wolves
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Southampton
-3%
+5%
Wolves

ELO progression

Southampton
Wolves
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Southampton
Southampton
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 Aug. 2003
SOU
Southampton
1 - 0
Manchester United
MUD
16%
22%
62%
84 94 10 0
26 Aug. 2003
LEE
Leeds United
0 - 0
Southampton
SOU
55%
24%
22%
84 87 3 0
23 Aug. 2003
SOU
Southampton
0 - 0
Birmingham City
BIR
59%
23%
18%
84 79 5 0
16 Aug. 2003
LEI
Leicester
2 - 2
Southampton
SOU
36%
27%
38%
84 79 5 0
17 May. 2003
ARS
Arsenal
1 - 0
Southampton
SOU
86%
10%
4%
85 93 8 -1

Matches

Wolves
Wolves
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Aug. 2003
WOL
Wolves
0 - 0
Portsmouth
OPA
46%
26%
29%
76 76 0 0
27 Aug. 2003
MUD
Manchester United
1 - 0
Wolves
WOL
83%
12%
5%
76 93 17 0
23 Aug. 2003
WOL
Wolves
0 - 4
Charlton Athletic
CHA
42%
27%
31%
77 81 4 -1
16 Aug. 2003
BBU
Blackburn Rovers
5 - 1
Wolves
WOL
63%
21%
16%
77 86 9 0
04 May. 2003
WOL
Wolves
1 - 1
Leicester
LEI
45%
26%
29%
77 79 2 0