Southampton vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.5%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
14.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2016 |
MUD
2 - 0
SOU
53%
26%
21%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
SOU
1 - 1
WAT
66%
19%
15%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
SOU
1 - 0
ATH
47%
25%
28%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2016 |
SOU
1 - 1
ESP
62%
21%
17%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
GRO
0 - 1
SOU
24%
26%
51%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2016 |
SUN
1 - 0
STF
75%
18%
7%
|
81 | 58 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
SUN
1 - 2
MID
53%
25%
21%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
MAC
2 - 1
SUN
79%
14%
7%
|
81 | 91 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2016 |
BVB
1 - 1
SUN
78%
15%
7%
|
81 | 91 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
SUN
1 - 1
MPL
46%
27%
27%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |