Carabao Cup Quarter-finals

Southampton vs Liverpool analysis

Southampton Liverpool
86 ELO 88
9.6% Tilt -5.9%
319º General ELO ranking 12º
23º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
46.2%
Southampton
24.7%
Draw
29.1%
Liverpool

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.1%
Win probability
Southampton
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
29.1%
Win probability
Liverpool
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO progression

Southampton
Liverpool
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Southampton
Southampton
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Nov. 2015
MAC
Manchester City
3 - 1
Southampton
SOU
78%
14%
8%
87 93 6 0
21 Nov. 2015
SOU
Southampton
0 - 1
Stoke City
STO
60%
22%
17%
87 85 2 0
07 Nov. 2015
SUN
Sunderland
0 - 1
Southampton
SOU
29%
27%
44%
87 80 7 0
01 Nov. 2015
SOU
Southampton
2 - 0
AFC Bournemouth
BOU
68%
19%
13%
87 78 9 0
28 Oct. 2015
SOU
Southampton
2 - 1
Aston Villa
ASV
65%
20%
15%
86 81 5 +1

Matches

Liverpool
Liverpool
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Nov. 2015
LIV
Liverpool
1 - 0
Swansea City
SWA
62%
22%
16%
87 81 6 0
26 Nov. 2015
LIV
Liverpool
2 - 1
Girondins Bordeaux
GIR
60%
23%
17%
87 82 5 0
21 Nov. 2015
MAC
Manchester City
1 - 4
Liverpool
LIV
79%
14%
7%
86 93 7 +1
08 Nov. 2015
LIV
Liverpool
1 - 2
Crystal Palace
CRY
58%
24%
19%
87 83 4 -1
05 Nov. 2015
FCR
Rubin Kazán
0 - 1
Liverpool
LIV
29%
27%
45%
87 82 5 0