Southampton vs Leeds United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
31.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2021 |
SOU
3 - 1
FUL
65%
21%
13%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2021 |
SOU
3 - 1
CRY
46%
25%
29%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
LIV
2 - 0
SOU
71%
18%
12%
|
84 | 92 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2021 |
SOU
1 - 1
LEI
23%
24%
54%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
TOT
2 - 1
SOU
64%
20%
16%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2021 |
BUR
0 - 4
LEE
38%
26%
36%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
LEE
3 - 1
TOT
15%
20%
64%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
BHA
2 - 0
LEE
35%
25%
40%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
LEE
0 - 0
MUD
14%
22%
65%
|
82 | 92 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2021 |
LEE
1 - 1
LIV
10%
17%
73%
|
82 | 92 | 10 | 0 |