Southampton vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
39%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 1970 |
SOU
1 - 1
NEW
60%
21%
19%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1969 |
SOU
0 - 0
STO
58%
22%
21%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1969 |
CHL
3 - 1
SOU
68%
19%
13%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1969 |
NEW
0 - 0
SOU
65%
19%
16%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1969 |
SOU
1 - 2
NTT
59%
22%
19%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 1970 |
EVE
3 - 0
IPS
74%
17%
9%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1969 |
LEE
2 - 1
EVE
61%
23%
16%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1969 |
EVE
1 - 0
MAC
59%
23%
18%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1969 |
EVE
1 - 0
DER
75%
17%
8%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1969 |
WHU
0 - 1
EVE
39%
27%
34%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |