Southampton vs Burnley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.4%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
28.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
SOU
0 - 3
MON
34%
26%
41%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2018 |
SOU
3 - 2
CEL
31%
26%
42%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
SOU
2 - 0
DIJ
55%
24%
22%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2018 |
DER
3 - 0
SOU
30%
27%
43%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2018 |
JIA
2 - 3
SOU
33%
27%
40%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2018 |
IST
0 - 0
BUR
58%
22%
20%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
BUR
0 - 2
ESP
37%
28%
35%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2018 |
BUR
3 - 1
ABE
48%
27%
25%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
BUR
0 - 0
MPL
47%
27%
26%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2018 |
ABE
1 - 1
BUR
38%
27%
35%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |