South Melbourne vs Heidelberg Utd analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
42%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+78%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Melbourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2017 |
SOU
2 - 1
POR
76%
15%
9%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2017 |
SOU
5 - 4
DAC
70%
16%
14%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
SOU
3 - 0
BUL
84%
11%
5%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2017 |
KIN
1 - 2
SOU
21%
19%
60%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2017 |
BEN
0 - 0
SOU
51%
23%
26%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Heidelberg Utd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
STA
1 - 4
HEU
6%
12%
83%
|
44 | 15 | 29 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
AVH
0 - 3
HEU
19%
23%
58%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2017 |
NOR
0 - 2
HEU
21%
23%
56%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2017 |
POR
0 - 1
HEU
18%
22%
60%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
HEU
2 - 1
BUL
85%
10%
5%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | +1 |