South China AA vs Sparta Asia FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
30.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South China AA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
EAD
1 - 0
SCA
50%
23%
28%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
CAA
2 - 1
SCA
33%
23%
45%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | -2 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
CWD
1 - 2
SCA
25%
23%
53%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
SCA
3 - 2
TCS
56%
22%
23%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | +2 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
HON
2 - 1
SCA
73%
16%
12%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Sparta Asia FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
DOU
1 - 1
MUT
37%
23%
40%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
YOK
2 - 3
MUT
27%
23%
50%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
BIU
5 - 1
MUT
47%
23%
30%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
MUT
1 - 1
KWU
80%
14%
6%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
HON
3 - 0
MUT
64%
19%
17%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |