Sousense vs Tourizense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
20.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sousense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 0
SOU
64%
21%
15%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
SOU
1 - 0
COI
37%
27%
36%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
CIN
2 - 0
SOU
42%
26%
32%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
SOU
1 - 1
ACA
64%
19%
17%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
SOU
2 - 3
COI
40%
27%
33%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Tourizense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
COI
2 - 0
TOU
62%
21%
17%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
TOU
1 - 0
ACA
45%
23%
32%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
PAM
2 - 1
TOU
35%
26%
39%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
TOU
1 - 3
SAN
17%
22%
61%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | -2 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
TOU
1 - 1
GAF
32%
28%
40%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |