Sousel UD vs Fronteirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.6%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.3%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
70.7%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.3%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sousel UD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
GAV
1 - 0
SOU
87%
9%
3%
|
7 | 23 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
SOU
0 - 7
EPO
8%
16%
76%
|
7 | 27 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
CRA
4 - 0
SOU
50%
22%
27%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Fronteirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2014 |
FRO
0 - 2
MOS
42%
23%
35%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
FRO
0 - 0
MON
36%
23%
41%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
GAV
3 - 1
FRO
68%
18%
14%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |