Sousa vs Campinense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
43.1%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sousa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2007 |
ATL
2 - 1
SOU
39%
26%
36%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2007 |
ECP
3 - 1
SOU
35%
25%
40%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
DPB
2 - 3
SOU
27%
25%
48%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2007 |
SOU
3 - 2
BOT
33%
23%
44%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
SOU
2 - 0
TRE
59%
21%
20%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Campinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2007 |
TRE
3 - 2
CAM
36%
26%
38%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2007 |
CAM
3 - 1
NAC
59%
21%
20%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
ATL
1 - 0
CAM
24%
24%
52%
|
59 | 42 | 17 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2007 |
PER
1 - 5
CAM
14%
20%
66%
|
59 | 10 | 49 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
CAM
2 - 2
AUT
61%
21%
18%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |