Sourense vs Penelense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.1%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
12.6%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
SOU
2 - 0
GDA
53%
23%
24%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
CAL
0 - 1
SOU
53%
25%
23%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
SOU
1 - 2
BEN
74%
17%
10%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
MOR
1 - 1
SOU
21%
23%
56%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
SOU
1 - 2
OLI
55%
23%
23%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Penelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
PEN
1 - 1
POM
22%
23%
56%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
GDA
1 - 2
PEN
74%
16%
10%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
PEN
0 - 3
CDT
43%
24%
33%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
CAL
2 - 0
PEN
71%
18%
11%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
PEN
0 - 1
ALC
27%
24%
50%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | -1 |