Alcobendas vs Moratalaz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.1%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
18.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcobendas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
SSR
1 - 0
ALC
28%
24%
49%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
ALC
1 - 0
ATL
69%
19%
13%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
STA
0 - 1
ALC
27%
25%
48%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
ALC
1 - 0
FTO
76%
15%
9%
|
22 | 12 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
TRC
0 - 1
ALC
26%
24%
50%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Moratalaz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
MOR
3 - 1
LRZ
52%
24%
23%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
ATL
3 - 1
MOR
62%
20%
19%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
MOR
1 - 1
CDS
60%
21%
19%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
POZ
1 - 1
MOR
31%
23%
45%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
MOR
4 - 2
ADU
45%
25%
30%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |