Sorrento vs Casertana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.1%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.9%
7%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sorrento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
RAA
2 - 4
SOR
10%
19%
71%
|
51 | 21 | 30 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
SOR
3 - 1
USP
78%
15%
7%
|
51 | 30 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
NUO
1 - 1
SOR
38%
26%
36%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -2 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
APR
2 - 1
SOR
13%
21%
66%
|
54 | 32 | 22 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
SOR
2 - 3
VIG
80%
15%
6%
|
55 | 33 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
Casertana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
ISC
1 - 0
CAS
73%
18%
10%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
CAS
2 - 0
MAR
58%
22%
21%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
GAV
2 - 0
CAS
39%
25%
36%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | -3 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
CAS
0 - 1
NUO
23%
24%
54%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | -2 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
USP
1 - 1
CAS
36%
27%
37%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | -1 |