Oberliga Niederrhein Round 41

Sonsbeck vs SF Baumberg analysis

Sonsbeck SF Baumberg
34 ELO 35
2.1% Tilt -11.3%
4482º General ELO ranking 5072º
211º Country ELO ranking 249º
ELO win probability
36.1%
Sonsbeck
21.9%
Draw
42%
SF Baumberg

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.1%
Win probability
Sonsbeck
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.8%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
42%
Win probability
SF Baumberg
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Sonsbeck
-20%
-53%
SF Baumberg

Points and table prediction

Sonsbeck
Their league position
SF Baumberg
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
56
17º
10º
58
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Velbert
94
94
100%
Hilden
79
79
100%
TVD Velbert
78
78
100%
Germania Ratingen
74
74
100%
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
73
73
100%
KFC Uerdingen 05
72
72
100%
Schonnebeck
61
61
100%
Meerbusch
59
59
100%
SF Baumberg
58
58
100%
Sonsbeck
10º
56
56
10º
100%
Hamborn
11º
56
56
11º
100%
SC St. Tönis
12º
55
55
12º
100%
Homberg
13º
52
52
13º
0%
Kleve
15º
52
52
14º
100%
SC Union Nettetal
14º
52
52
15º
0%
MSV Düsseldorf
16º
50
50
16º
100%
1.FC Monheim
17º
42
42
17º
100%
Cronenberger
18º
29
29
18º
0%
Turu 1880 Dusseldorf
19º
29
29
19º
0%
Kray
20º
25
25
20º
100%
FSV Duisburg
21º
18
18
21º
100%
Expected probabilities
Sonsbeck
SF Baumberg
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Sonsbeck
SF Baumberg
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Sonsbeck
Sonsbeck
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 May. 2023
TDV
TVD Velbert
2 - 0
Sonsbeck
SON
67%
19%
14%
33 42 9 0
18 May. 2023
SON
Sonsbeck
7 - 1
FSV Duisburg
FSV
83%
12%
6%
32 17 15 +1
14 May. 2023
SCH
Schonnebeck
4 - 2
Sonsbeck
SON
53%
22%
25%
34 33 1 -2
30 Apr. 2023
SON
Sonsbeck
2 - 2
Cronenberger
CRO
74%
16%
11%
33 21 12 +1
23 Apr. 2023
MSV
MSV Düsseldorf
1 - 1
Sonsbeck
SON
40%
24%
36%
33 29 4 0

Matches

SF Baumberg
SF Baumberg
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 May. 2023
SFB
SF Baumberg
1 - 0
Cronenberger
CRO
79%
13%
8%
34 22 12 0
16 May. 2023
MSV
MSV Düsseldorf
2 - 1
SF Baumberg
SFB
30%
22%
48%
35 30 5 -1
13 May. 2023
SFB
SF Baumberg
0 - 1
Germania Ratingen
GRA
37%
22%
41%
35 40 5 0
07 May. 2023
HAM
Hamborn
4 - 1
SF Baumberg
SFB
33%
22%
45%
36 33 3 -1
30 Apr. 2023
SFB
SF Baumberg
8 - 0
Kray
KRA
89%
8%
3%
35 16 19 +1