Denmark Fourth Division Round 3

Sønderborg vs Varde IF Elite analysis

Sønderborg Varde IF Elite
33 ELO 33
8.4% Tilt 5.1%
10394º General ELO ranking 24400º
157º Country ELO ranking 256º
ELO win probability
43.5%
Sønderborg
22.1%
Draw
34.4%
Varde IF Elite

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.6%
Win probability
Sønderborg
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
34.4%
Win probability
Varde IF Elite
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Sønderborg
-14%
+9%
Varde IF Elite

ELO progression

Sønderborg
Varde IF Elite
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Sønderborg
Sønderborg
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Aug. 2015
GRE
Greve IF
4 - 0
Sønderborg
SON
68%
17%
15%
33 41 8 0
12 Aug. 2015
SON
Sønderborg
4 - 1
Varde
VAR
27%
22%
51%
30 43 13 +3
08 Aug. 2015
SON
Sønderborg
3 - 2
Taastrup FC
TAA
49%
22%
30%
30 31 1 0
20 Jun. 2015
SON
Sønderborg
0 - 3
Kalundborg
KAL
36%
22%
42%
32 38 6 -2
13 Jun. 2015
DOL
Døllefjelde-Musse
2 - 3
Sønderborg
SON
22%
20%
58%
32 20 12 0

Matches

Varde IF Elite
Varde IF Elite
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Aug. 2015
VAR
Varde IF Elite
2 - 1
Kalundborg
KAL
51%
21%
28%
34 33 1 0
08 Aug. 2015
MAR
Marstal/Rise
3 - 2
Varde IF Elite
VAR
28%
23%
50%
37 28 9 -3
20 Jun. 2015
VAR
Varde IF Elite
1 - 3
Svendborg
SVE
33%
25%
42%
39 47 8 -2
13 Jun. 2015
MID
Middelfart
4 - 1
Varde IF Elite
VAR
67%
18%
15%
40 46 6 -1
06 Jun. 2015
VAR
Varde IF Elite
2 - 1
Kolding IF
KOL
22%
22%
56%
38 49 11 +2