Somozas vs Atl. Astorga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.3%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
25.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Somozas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
RAC
2 - 0
SOM
72%
20%
9%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
SOM
3 - 1
COX
52%
26%
23%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
RCF
2 - 0
SOM
66%
19%
14%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
SOM
0 - 0
COM
57%
24%
19%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
LEA
0 - 1
SOM
41%
26%
33%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Atl. Astorga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
AST
0 - 0
PON
49%
26%
26%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
SPB
0 - 1
AST
42%
26%
33%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
AST
0 - 0
IZA
48%
24%
28%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
PEÑ
2 - 4
AST
39%
26%
35%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
AST
3 - 1
UDL
29%
29%
42%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | +2 |