Somerset Eagles vs Somerset Trojans analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.8%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
26.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Somerset Eagles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
SOM
2 - 2
BOU
53%
23%
24%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
HOR
4 - 2
SOM
52%
23%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
DEV
1 - 1
SOM
51%
23%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
NOR
1 - 2
SOM
53%
22%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
SOM
3 - 2
HAM
52%
23%
26%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Somerset Trojans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
SOM
1 - 3
PHC
48%
24%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
SOM
1 - 1
DEV
49%
24%
28%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2010 |
SOM
1 - 3
HAM
47%
24%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
SOU
2 - 1
SOM
45%
24%
31%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
SOM
0 - 1
DEV
48%
24%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |