Sol de América vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
37%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sol de América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
LQE
2 - 0
AME
53%
25%
22%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
AME
2 - 3
12O
65%
20%
15%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 1
AME
37%
27%
37%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2014 |
AME
1 - 2
OLI
39%
26%
36%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
GUA
3 - 0
AME
67%
20%
13%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2014 |
12O
1 - 1
NAC
22%
27%
51%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
NAC
2 - 0
GEN
53%
25%
22%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2014 |
MUN
1 - 1
NAC
35%
26%
39%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | +2 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
NAC
1 - 0
SAN
64%
22%
14%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2014 |
OLI
0 - 1
NAC
50%
25%
25%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |