Sol de América vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
6%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
38.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sol de América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
NAC
2 - 1
AME
65%
22%
14%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
AME
2 - 0
RÑU
42%
26%
33%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
IND
2 - 4
AME
55%
25%
20%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
AME
4 - 1
CER
55%
24%
22%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
AME
2 - 2
CCP
25%
26%
49%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
LIB
2 - 2
GUA
59%
23%
19%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2012 |
TAC
1 - 1
LIB
27%
29%
44%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2012 |
NAC
1 - 2
LIB
59%
24%
18%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
LIB
1 - 0
LQE
80%
15%
6%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2012 |
LIB
4 - 1
ALI
57%
23%
21%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |