Sokół Ostróda vs Polonia Warszawa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.3%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
13.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sokół Ostróda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
BRA
2 - 3
SOK
26%
22%
52%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
SOK
1 - 2
RAD
72%
16%
13%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
USK
0 - 6
SOK
40%
25%
35%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | +2 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
CON
0 - 0
SOK
25%
23%
52%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
SOK
4 - 1
PEL
66%
19%
16%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Polonia Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
POL
1 - 3
CON
60%
20%
20%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
PEL
1 - 0
POL
43%
23%
34%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
POL
0 - 1
SWI
57%
21%
22%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
SAL
2 - 0
POL
53%
21%
26%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2019 |
POL
0 - 2
RWM
86%
10%
5%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | -1 |