SAT vs Deportivo Malvinas analysis


25	ELO	25
0.2%	Tilt	-2%
42309º	General ELO ranking	8610º
541º	Country ELO ranking	172º
ELO win probability

51%

SAT

20.9%

Draw

28.2%

Deportivo Malvinas

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of each margin of victory

51%
Win probability

                        
                    
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%

20.9%

Draw

0-0

2.5%

1-1

8.3%

2-2

6.9%

3-3

2.5%

4-4

0.5%

5-5

0.1%

20.9%

28.2%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%