Sobradinho vs Paracatu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.8%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
10%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.5%
9.7%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sobradinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2015 |
BRA
1 - 0
SOB
52%
24%
25%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
SOB
0 - 2
GAM
41%
23%
36%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2015 |
SAN
0 - 2
SOB
19%
22%
59%
|
51 | 32 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
SOB
0 - 1
FOR
67%
19%
14%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2014 |
LUZ
1 - 1
SOB
37%
26%
38%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Paracatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2015 |
PAR
1 - 0
CDF
78%
15%
8%
|
35 | 14 | 21 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
FOR
2 - 0
PAR
63%
21%
16%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2015 |
PAR
1 - 0
GAM
17%
21%
62%
|
34 | 54 | 20 | +2 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
CEI
3 - 0
PAR
68%
19%
13%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
BRA
1 - 0
PAR
69%
18%
12%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | 0 |