Sobradinho vs Formosa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
18.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sobradinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2019 |
BFC
2 - 3
SOB
7%
14%
79%
|
48 | 9 | 39 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2019 |
SOB
0 - 0
ARN
54%
23%
23%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
SOB
1 - 1
TAG
17%
20%
63%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2019 |
DOM
2 - 0
SOB
33%
24%
44%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
SOB
3 - 0
CAP
71%
18%
12%
|
49 | 32 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Formosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
FOR
0 - 0
DOM
22%
23%
56%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
FOR
1 - 1
PAR
32%
25%
43%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2019 |
SAN
1 - 1
FOR
31%
22%
46%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
FOR
1 - 0
TAG
8%
14%
78%
|
37 | 62 | 25 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2018 |
CEI
1 - 1
FOR
65%
20%
15%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | +1 |