Sober CD vs Comercial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.6%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.5%
36.9%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+46%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sober CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
PAL
3 - 0
SOB
46%
21%
33%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
SOB
4 - 0
GUN
59%
20%
21%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
SRO
4 - 4
SOB
48%
22%
30%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
SOB
3 - 1
BOV
16%
20%
64%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | +3 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
COR
3 - 2
SOB
54%
21%
25%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
COM
0 - 1
COR
66%
18%
16%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
COM
4 - 1
COR
55%
21%
23%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
FRI
1 - 2
COM
67%
17%
16%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
COM
1 - 0
FER
51%
22%
28%
|
9 | 8 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
COM
0 - 0
RUB
43%
23%
34%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |