SNL vs Notch analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
33.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SNL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
SNL
2 - 2
KAM
64%
20%
16%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
EXC
1 - 2
SNL
62%
20%
17%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | +2 |
| 10 Jan. 2008 |
YOR
3 - 1
SNL
45%
24%
31%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -2 |
| 15 Dec. 2007 |
SNL
3 - 1
CSM
70%
17%
12%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2007 |
SNL
2 - 1
PEU
62%
21%
17%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Notch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
KAM
1 - 3
NOT
32%
25%
44%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2008 |
ELI
1 - 2
NOT
40%
25%
36%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 2008 |
TAK
2 - 0
NOT
42%
24%
33%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | -2 |
| 23 Dec. 2007 |
NOT
3 - 3
FOR
68%
19%
13%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
NOT
2 - 0
LAV
75%
16%
9%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | 0 |