Smouha SC vs Pharco FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.1%
12.5%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
3º
12º
6º
16
13º
18º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 62 |
1º
|
68.5% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 58 |
2º
|
44% | |
|
2º
|
37 | 51 |
3º
|
33% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 48 |
4º
|
14.5% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 46 |
5º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
34 | 46 |
6º
|
13.5% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 46 |
7º
|
13.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 45 |
8º
|
11% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 45 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 43 |
10º
|
12.5% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 42 |
11º
|
22% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 40 |
12º
|
30.5% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 34 |
13º
|
38% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 30 |
14º
|
34% | |
|
|
16º
|
16 | 28 |
15º
|
36.5% | |
|
17º
|
15 | 26 |
16º
|
28.5% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 24 |
17º
|
46% | |
|
18º
|
12 | 20 |
18º
|
77% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
3.5% | 0% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
19% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
77.5% | 57.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 42.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Smouha SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2023 |
ALA
0 - 0
SMO
47%
26%
27%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
SMO
0 - 1
ALI
47%
25%
28%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
MAS
1 - 1
SMO
17%
26%
57%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
ZAM
5 - 1
SMO
51%
25%
25%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2023 |
SMO
2 - 1
MOK
52%
24%
24%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Pharco FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2023 |
PHA
1 - 1
MOK
35%
28%
37%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
BAM
3 - 2
PHA
23%
30%
46%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
PHA
0 - 1
GOU
51%
26%
23%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
ISM
0 - 1
PHA
55%
27%
19%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
PHA
2 - 2
CCF
38%
29%
33%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |