Smouha SC vs National Bank of Egypt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
20.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
3º
12º
8º
24
13º
18º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 67 |
1º
|
87.5% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 58 |
2º
|
72% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 51 |
3º
|
35.5% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 50 |
4º
|
36% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 46 |
5º
|
19.5% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 45 |
6º
|
15.5% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 45 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
35 | 45 |
8º
|
13.5% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 44 |
9º
|
19.5% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 42 |
10º
|
30% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 41 |
11º
|
38.5% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 35 |
12º
|
68% | |
|
|
14º
|
24 | 31 |
13º
|
39.5% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 31 |
14º
|
35.5% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 28 |
15º
|
37.5% | |
|
17º
|
19 | 26 |
16º
|
31% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 26 |
17º
|
38.5% | |
|
18º
|
15 | 19 |
18º
|
87% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
9% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
91% | 93.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 6.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Smouha SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2024 |
CCF
2 - 0
SMO
48%
25%
27%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
ALI
0 - 2
SMO
47%
25%
29%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2024 |
SMO
0 - 0
CCF
55%
23%
22%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2024 |
BAM
1 - 0
SMO
13%
21%
65%
|
75 | 54 | 21 | -1 |
| 27 Dec. 2023 |
SMO
1 - 0
GEI
54%
25%
21%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
National Bank of Egypt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2024 |
MOK
0 - 1
NBE
41%
25%
34%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2024 |
NBE
2 - 2
ALM
36%
24%
40%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2024 |
GOU
3 - 1
NBE
39%
25%
37%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 2023 |
NBE
3 - 1
MOK
41%
27%
32%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Dec. 2023 |
BAM
0 - 2
NBE
21%
26%
54%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | +1 |