Smorgon II vs Grodnensky analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
9.5%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.4%
68%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
3.4%
3-5
0.8%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
19%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
5.4%
2-5
1.9%
3-6
0.4%
4-7
0%
-3
13.8%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
2.9%
2-6
0.9%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
8.2%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
4%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Smorgon II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2023 |
SMO
2 - 0
FCS
5%
10%
86%
|
12 | 34 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2023 |
SMO
5 - 1
OSH
4%
7%
89%
|
7 | 27 | 20 | +5 |
Matches
Grodnensky
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2023 |
GRO
0 - 1
SVA
42%
22%
36%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
GRO
3 - 0
FNO
82%
12%
7%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
CHZ
5 - 2
GRO
20%
19%
61%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | -2 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
GRO
1 - 2
SLC
35%
21%
44%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -2 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
FCS
1 - 0
GRO
50%
21%
29%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | -1 |