Smitshoek vs DUNO analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.1%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
29.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Smitshoek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
XER
2 - 3
SMI
40%
25%
35%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
SMI
1 - 3
RIJ
34%
24%
42%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | -2 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
VOO
2 - 0
SMI
40%
25%
36%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
SMI
2 - 1
EXC
45%
24%
31%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
DUNO
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
DUN
1 - 1
SPI
50%
24%
26%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
ZWA
4 - 0
DUN
43%
24%
33%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | -2 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
DUN
1 - 1
ALB
65%
20%
16%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
SHO
3 - 1
DUN
47%
24%
30%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | -1 |