Smiltene vs Pļaviņas / DM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.9%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.3%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.8%
8.2%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Smiltene
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
SMI
0 - 0
FKD
42%
25%
33%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
AUD
1 - 3
SMI
66%
19%
16%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | +2 |
| 19 Jul. 2014 |
SMI
0 - 2
FKD
9%
14%
77%
|
43 | 68 | 25 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2014 |
RIN
0 - 2
SMI
15%
19%
66%
|
43 | 15 | 28 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2014 |
SAL
0 - 0
SMI
45%
24%
31%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Pļaviņas / DM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
PAV
0 - 3
AUD
20%
23%
58%
|
25 | 47 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
PAV
0 - 2
SAL
24%
21%
56%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | -1 |
| 28 Jun. 2014 |
PAV
0 - 7
RIG
14%
18%
68%
|
27 | 60 | 33 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2014 |
RCR
8 - 0
PAV
77%
13%
10%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 2014 |
PAV
0 - 16
GUL
12%
18%
70%
|
28 | 65 | 37 | 0 |