Smederevo vs Rad Beograd analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.4%
31.1%
Draw
0-0
13.9%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
31.1%
34.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Smederevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
PAR
3 - 1
SME
81%
13%
6%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
SLO
1 - 1
SME
56%
24%
20%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
SME
1 - 2
JAG
40%
30%
31%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
BEO
1 - 0
SME
60%
23%
17%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
SME
1 - 2
SLO
41%
30%
29%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Rad Beograd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
RAD
0 - 1
JAV
65%
22%
13%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
FKS
0 - 0
RAD
49%
27%
23%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
RAD
1 - 1
VOJ
38%
27%
35%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
RAD
3 - 0
HAJ
63%
22%
15%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
PAR
1 - 0
RAD
78%
15%
7%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |