Varnsdorf vs Pardubice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.8%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
18.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varnsdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2014 |
MOS
0 - 2
SLO
35%
28%
38%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
SLO
2 - 3
BOH
71%
18%
11%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
FCV
3 - 0
SLO
33%
28%
39%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
SLO
2 - 2
LOK
73%
18%
10%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
FRY
0 - 0
SLO
37%
28%
36%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Pardubice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2014 |
PAR
0 - 1
TRI
51%
25%
24%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2014 |
ESK
1 - 0
PAR
59%
24%
17%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
PAR
1 - 2
SOK
45%
26%
29%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
KAR
3 - 0
PAR
51%
25%
24%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
PAR
1 - 0
FKM
43%
26%
31%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |