Varnsdorf vs Jablonec II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
23.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varnsdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
FKM
2 - 1
SLO
51%
25%
24%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
SLO
2 - 0
SLI
62%
22%
17%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2008 |
LET
1 - 1
SLO
29%
29%
41%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
SLO
0 - 1
CBJ
61%
23%
16%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2007 |
SLO
1 - 0
SPI
61%
23%
17%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Jablonec II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
JBN
3 - 0
SLI
50%
25%
25%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2008 |
CBJ
0 - 2
JBN
47%
25%
28%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +2 |
| 22 Mar. 2008 |
JBN
3 - 2
SPI
41%
28%
31%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
PBM
4 - 2
JBN
37%
25%
38%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | -2 |
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
JBN
0 - 0
SPA
31%
29%
40%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | +1 |