National League South . Jor. 40

Slough Town vs Ebbsfleet United analysis

Slough Town Ebbsfleet United
36 ELO 54
5.9% Tilt -2.6%
3673º General ELO ranking 4005º
124º Country ELO ranking 140º
ELO win probability
11.9%
Slough Town
18.9%
Draw
69.2%
Ebbsfleet United

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.9%
Win probability
Slough Town
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.6%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
69.2%
Win probability
Ebbsfleet United
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
13.2%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.5%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Slough Town
+5%
+21%
Ebbsfleet United

Points and table prediction

Slough Town
Their league position
Ebbsfleet United
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
11º
23º
18º
100
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Ebbsfleet United
100
103
100%
Dartford
82
85
100%
Chelmsford City
78
81
83%
Oxford City
79
79
83%
Worthing
76
76
100%
Braintree Town
73
74
70%
St. Albans City
72
73
70%
Havant & Waterlooville
70
70
37%
Tonbridge Angels
10º
67
70
0%
Eastbourne Borough
69
69
10º
60.5%
Farnborough
11º
66
67
11º
81.5%
Bath City
12º
65
65
12º
100%
Hemel Hempstead Town
13º
61
61
13º
53.5%
Chippenham Town
14º
59
60
14º
53.5%
Taunton Town
15º
58
58
15º
83%
Welling United
16º
56
57
16º
100%
Hampton & Richmond
17º
53
53
17º
76.5%
Slough Town
18º
50
51
18º
53.5%
Dulwich Hamlet FC
20º
48
49
19º
62.5%
Weymouth
21º
45
48
20º
55.5%
Dover Athletic
19º
48
48
21º
55.5%
Concord Rangers
22º
45
45
22º
72.5%
Cheshunt
23º
43
43
23º
79.5%
Hungerford Town
24º
40
40
24º
94.5%
Expected probabilities
Slough Town
Ebbsfleet United
Promotion
0% 100%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Next round
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Slough Town
Ebbsfleet United
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Slough Town
Slough Town
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Mar. 2023
FAR
Farnborough
4 - 1
Slough Town
SLO
67%
20%
13%
37 48 11 0
18 Mar. 2023
EAS
Eastbourne Borough
2 - 0
Slough Town
SLO
58%
22%
21%
38 41 3 -1
11 Mar. 2023
SLO
Slough Town
4 - 0
Hungerford Town
HUN
37%
25%
38%
36 40 4 +2
07 Mar. 2023
CON
Concord Rangers
0 - 2
Slough Town
SLO
44%
23%
33%
34 32 2 +2
04 Mar. 2023
SLO
Slough Town
1 - 1
Worthing
WOR
16%
21%
64%
33 48 15 +1

Matches

Ebbsfleet United
Ebbsfleet United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Mar. 2023
EBB
Ebbsfleet United
4 - 2
Dulwich Hamlet FC
DUL
82%
13%
6%
54 35 19 0
11 Mar. 2023
TON
Tonbridge Angels
1 - 1
Ebbsfleet United
EBB
22%
24%
55%
54 43 11 0
07 Mar. 2023
EBB
Ebbsfleet United
7 - 2
Worthing
WOR
56%
23%
21%
53 47 6 +1
04 Mar. 2023
EBB
Ebbsfleet United
0 - 0
Hemel Hempstead Town
HEM
69%
19%
12%
53 42 11 0
28 Feb. 2023
FAR
Farnborough
2 - 2
Ebbsfleet United
EBB
30%
26%
44%
53 48 5 0
X