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Croatia Third Division. Sur, Matchday 17

Sloga Mravince vs Urania analysis

Sloga Mravince Urania
30 ELO 19
-24% Tilt -26%
4739º General ELO ranking 7135º
36º Country ELO ranking 67º
ELO win probability
43.5%
Sloga Mravince
31.9%
Draw
24.5%
Urania

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.5%
Win probability
Sloga Mravince
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
17.6%
2-1
7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.6%
31.9%
Draw
0-0
16.2%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
31.9%
24.5%
Win probability
Urania
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Sloga Mravince
-59%
+29%
Urania

Points and table prediction

Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Neretvanac
60
60
100%
NK Jadran LP
57
57
100%
Split
51
51
100%
NK Uskok Klis
49
49
50%
Zagora Unešić
49
49
50%
Hrvace
48
48
100%
Hrvatski Vitez
47
47
100%
Sloga Mravince
45
45
100%
Zmaj Makarska
44
44
100%
Primorac Biograd
10º
43
43
11º
50%
Urania
11º
43
43
10º
50%
GOŠK DBK
12º
42
42
12º
50%
NK Otok
13º
42
42
13º
50%
NK Kamen
14º
37
37
14º
50%
Neretva
15º
37
37
15º
50%
Vodice
16º
35
35
16º
100%
Zmaj Blato
17º
30
30
17º
100%
Expected probabilities
Sloga Mravince
Urania
Champion
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation playoffs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Urania
UBV
Sloga Mravince
SMR
Vodice
VOD
Neretvanac
NER
Hrvace
HRV
Zmaj Blato
ZMA
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Sloga Mravince
Sloga Mravince
1%
X%
2%
ELO SMR ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Nov. 2020
ZMA
Zmaj Blato
0 - 0
Sloga Mravince
SMR
40%
28%
32%
392 183 -209 0
21 Nov. 2020
GOS
GOŠK DBK
0 - 0
Sloga Mravince
SMR
41%
28%
32%
392 226 -166 0
15 Nov. 2020
SMR
Sloga Mravince
1 - 0
NK Uskok Klis
USK
47%
27%
26%
391 254 137 +1
11 Nov. 2020
SMR
Sloga Mravince
2 - 0
Vodice
VOD
45%
27%
29%
389 511 -122 +2
24 Oct. 2020
NKH
Hrvatski Vitez
3 - 1
Sloga Mravince
SMR
41%
28%
31%
391 256 -135 -2

Matches

Urania
Urania
1%
X%
2%
ELO UBV ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Nov. 2020
UBV
Urania
3 - 1
Hrvatski Vitez
NKH
44%
27%
29%
256 257 -1 +2
14 Nov. 2020
PRB
Primorac Biograd
0 - 0
Urania
UBV
46%
27%
27%
256 228 -28 0
08 Nov. 2020
UBV
Urania
4 - 0
Zagora Unešić
ZAG
49%
26%
25%
253 144 109 +2
31 Oct. 2020
NER
Neretva
3 - 2
Urania
UBV
45%
27%
29%
255 163 -92 -1
28 Oct. 2020
UBV
Urania
1 - 0
Zmaj Makarska
MAK
46%
27%
26%
254 188 66 +1