Croatia Third Division East Round 1

Pleternica vs Čepin analysis

Pleternica Čepin
34 ELO 23
1% Tilt -0.9%
28409º General ELO ranking 39353º
149º Country ELO ranking 244º
ELO win probability
77.5%
Pleternica
14.6%
Draw
7.9%
Čepin

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.5%
Win probability
Pleternica
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.6%
7.9%
Win probability
Čepin
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Pleternica
+19%
-8%
Čepin

Points and table prediction

Pleternica
Their league position
Čepin
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
47
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Slavonija Pozega
59
59
100%
Graničar Županja
58
58
100%
NAŠK
52
52
100%
Kutjevo
49
49
100%
Čepin
47
47
100%
NK Borac
44
44
100%
Pleternica
43
43
100%
Oriolik Oriovac
42
42
100%
Vuteks Sloga
41
41
100%
NK Svačić
10º
40
40
10º
100%
Bedem
11º
38
38
11º
0%
Sloga NG
12º
38
38
12º
0%
Valpovka
13º
36
36
13º
100%
Đakovo Croatia
14º
34
34
14º
100%
Darda
15º
30
30
15º
100%
Gornja Vrba
16º
24
24
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
Pleternica
Čepin
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Pleternica
Čepin
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Pleternica
Pleternica
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 May. 2022
CEP
Čepin
2 - 2
Pleternica
SLA
23%
22%
55%
34 23 11 0
21 May. 2022
SLA
Pleternica
3 - 0
NK Slavonac Bukovlje
NKS
83%
11%
6%
33 20 13 +1
14 May. 2022
SLA
Pleternica
0 - 0
Đakovo Croatia
CRO
43%
24%
33%
33 37 4 0
06 May. 2022
SLA
Pleternica
3 - 1
Slavonija Pozega
SLA
44%
24%
32%
31 35 4 +2
04 May. 2022
SLA
Pleternica
1 - 0
Belisce
BEL
11%
19%
70%
27 49 22 +4

Matches

Čepin
Čepin
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 May. 2022
CEP
Čepin
2 - 2
Pleternica
SLA
23%
22%
55%
23 34 11 0
21 May. 2022
CRO
Đakovo Croatia
2 - 0
Čepin
CEP
80%
14%
7%
23 37 14 0
14 May. 2022
CEP
Čepin
1 - 4
Slavonija Pozega
SLA
28%
24%
48%
25 33 8 -2
07 May. 2022
BEL
Belisce
3 - 0
Čepin
CEP
86%
11%
3%
25 47 22 0
04 May. 2022
CEP
Čepin
2 - 2
Gornja Vrba
OGV
64%
19%
18%
25 21 4 0